By: Bobby Dormanesh The tailwinds from the Global Financial Crisis of low interest rates, available credit, and rising valuations are shifting. Private debt is gaini...
By: Bobby Dormanesh
The tailwinds from the Global Financial Crisis of low interest rates, available credit, and rising valuations are shifting. Private debt is gaining popularity as the pendulum begins to swing in a different direction. Regardless of the type of asset, private markets have continuously outperformed public markets.
What is happening in private debt?
Interest rates are rising, creating more attractive debt yields – the rate of return an investor can expect to earn if they hold debt instruments until maturity. Private debt fundraising grew last year to help make up the shortfall in bank financing. Rising rates, coupled with its senior position in the capital stack, has attracted investors with its ability to earn high single-digit to low double-digit returns on the asset class.
What is happening in private equity?
Starting in the second half of 2022 and continuing into Q1 of 2023, deal making has slowed down, global fundraising is down, and dry powder continues to grow. The rising rates noted in the private debt market has caused both, the cost of capital and the opportunity cost of investing in private equity, to go up. The increasing cost of capital makes it more expensive for PE firms to finance their purchases, while at the same time decreasing the valuations of their portfolio companies. Lastly, the opportunity in the private debt market creates an even higher hurdle for private equity to beat (i.e., if an investor is going to invest in a riskier asset, the returns must not only beat the less risky debt asset, but it has to pay a premium).
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