Strategic Planning for Nonprofits Amid Federal Funding Uncertainty

  • Nonprofits
  • 3/24/2025
Business women having a discussion with a client

By leveraging CLA's federal funding financial model, nonprofits can better understand revenue risks and develop effective contingency plans.

Nonprofits face significant challenges due to the potential reduction or elimination of federal funding. With so much uncertainty at the federal level, it is crucial for organizations to proactively plan for revenue losses and develop robust contingency plans.

At CLA, we have developed a financial model that helps nonprofits navigate these uncertainties by sizing up potential revenue losses and creating effective contingency plans. This approach is designed to address the current federal funding landscape and provide organizations with the tools they need to stay resilient.

Understanding the federal funding landscape

Recent executive orders, directives, and policy shifts have created a complex environment for federal grant recipients. For instance, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) issued a memo requiring a temporary pause in all activities and a mandatory review of all funded agencies and programs. Although this pause was later rescinded, the uncertainty remains, with ongoing legal challenges and policy changes affecting various sectors, including higher education, health care, state and local government, and nonprofits.

The CLA financial planning approach

Our financial model helps nonprofits evaluate the financial implications of potential federal funding cuts by following a structured approach:

  1. Assess revenue at risk — Identify and quantify the revenue streams that are most vulnerable to federal funding changes.
  2. Size the impact — Estimate the magnitude and duration of the potential revenue loss.
  3. Develop contingency plans — Create detailed plans to address the identified revenue gaps, including cost reductions, alternative funding sources, and operational adjustments.
  4. Monitor and adjust — Continuously monitor the federal funding landscape and adjust the contingency plans as needed to stay ahead of changes.

The Federal Funding Uncertainty Curve

We introduce the "Federal Funding Uncertainty Curve," which represents the stages of financial impact and recovery that nonprofits may experience as they navigate the uncertainties of federal funding. This curve helps organizations visualize and plan for the potential fluctuations in their revenue streams and develop strategies to mitigate the impact.

Federal Funding Curve CLA Graphic

How CLA can help

Nonprofits must be proactive in addressing the uncertainties surrounding federal funding. By leveraging CLA's financial model, organizations can better understand their revenue risks, develop effective contingency plans, and navigate the challenges ahead with confidence. Stay informed, stay prepared, and keep your organization resilient in the face of federal funding uncertainties.

See also:

If you would like help creating a contingency plan for your nonprofit, reach out today.

This blog contains general information and does not constitute the rendering of legal, accounting, investment, tax, or other professional services. Consult with your advisors regarding the applicability of this content to your specific circumstances.

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